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World Cup Pulse
Switzerland
4–1
FT
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Jun 18, 2026, 7:00 PM UTCSoFi Stadium · Inglewood
Model estimateModel called it
68%SwitzerlandDraw 20%Bosnia and Herzegovina12%

Most likely 1–0

Model read

The model reads this as a lean toward Switzerland. With Elo 258 points apart (Switzerland 1932, Bosnia and Herzegovina 1674), it estimates 68% / 20% / 12% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 1–0, with both teams to score 41% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ SwitzerlandBosnia and Herzegovina →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 1–0 · 14%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score41%
  • Switzerland clean sheet52%
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina clean sheet14%
  • Switzerland win-to-nil45%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • Switzerland0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (1.95 vs 0.66). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 2487849361 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Leaning · 24/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

Switzerland
  • W4–1vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • D1–1@ Qatar
Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • L1–4@ Switzerland
  • D1–1@ Canada

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

Switzerland · 1W · 0D · 0L

  • W4–1Bosnia and Herzegovina

Squad · 26 players

Who featured

From the match timeline — goals, cards and substitutions — not a confirmed lineup.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Our Elo model estimates Switzerland 68%, draw 20%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 12% — most likely 1–0. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina kick off?
Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina played?
SoFi Stadium in Inglewood.