Most likely 0–1
Model read
The model reads this as a near coin-flip. With Elo 125 points apart (Jordan 1744, Algeria 1869), it estimates 23% / 25% / 52% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 0–1, with both teams to score 50% likely.
A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.
Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson
Derived from the same grid
- Both teams to score50%
- Jordan clean sheet20%
- Algeria clean sheet37%
- Algeria win-to-nil30%
Model estimate
10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson
- Jordan0 (0%)
- Draw0 (0%)
- Algeria0 (0%)
Marker = exact model %
Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (0.99 vs 1.61). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.
seed 3026395143 · reproducible
Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson
Balanced · 7/100How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.
Form — actual World Cup 2026 results
- L1–3@ Austria
- L0–3@ Argentina
Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)
These sides haven't met yet at this tournament — this would be their first World Cup 2026 meeting.
Squad · 26 players
No lineup is published or predicted — this is the full registered squad.
- 1
Yazeed AbulailaAl-HusseinAge 33
76/0 - 12
Nour Bani AttiahAl-FaisalyAge 33
5/0 - 22
Abdallah Al-FakhouriAl-WehdatAge 26
11/0
- 2
Mohammad Abu HashishAl-KarmaAge 31
56/1 - 3
Abdallah NasibAl-ZawraaAge 32
65/3 - 4
Husam Abu DahabAl-FaisalyAge 26
18/0 - 5
Yazan Al-ArabFC SeoulAge 30
80/3 - 16
Mo AbualnadiSelangorAge 25
18/0 - 17
Salim ObaidAl-HusseinAge 34
11/0 - 19
Saed Al-RosanAl-HusseinAge 29
21/2 - 23
Ihsan HaddadCAl-HusseinAge 32
92/2 - 26
Anas BadawiAl-FaisalyAge 28
1/0
- 6
Amer JamousAl-ZawraaAge 23
19/1 - 8
Noor Al-RawabdehSelangorAge 29
68/3 - 14
Rajaei AyedAl-HusseinAge 32
72/0 - 15
Ibrahim SadehAl-KarmaAge 26
57/3 - 18
Mohammad TahaAl-HusseinAge 20
2/0 - 20
Mohannad Abu TahaAl-Quwa Al-JawiyaAge 23
29/1 - 21
Nizar Al-RashdanQatar SCAge 27
47/4 - 25
Mohammad Al-DawoudAl-WehdatAge 34
13/1
- 7
Mohammad Abu ZrayqRaja CasablancaAge 28
41/5 - 9
Ali OlwanAl-SailiyaAge 26
66/29 - 10
Musa Al-TaamariRennesAge 29
92/24 - 11
Odeh Al-FakhouriPyramidsAge 20
10/1 - 13
Mahmoud Al-MardiAl-HusseinAge 32
89/9 - 24
Ali AzaizehAl-ShababAge 22
4/0
Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.
Common questions
- Who will win Jordan vs Algeria?
- Our Elo model estimates Jordan 23%, draw 25%, Algeria 52% — most likely 0–1. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
- When does Jordan vs Algeria kick off?
- Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
- Where is Jordan vs Algeria played?
- Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara.