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World Cup Pulse
Scotland
vs
Upcoming
Brazil
Jun 24, 2026, 10:00 PM UTCHard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens
Model estimate
16%ScotlandDraw 23%Brazil61%

Most likely 0–1

Model read

The model reads this as a lean toward Brazil. With Elo 199 points apart (Scotland 1863, Brazil 2062), it estimates 16% / 23% / 61% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 0–1, with both teams to score 46% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ ScotlandBrazil →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 0–1 · 13%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score46%
  • Scotland clean sheet17%
  • Brazil clean sheet45%
  • Brazil win-to-nil37%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • Scotland0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • Brazil0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (0.80 vs 1.80). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 15135784 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Leaning · 15/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

Scotland
  • L0–1vs Morocco
  • W1–0@ Haiti
Brazil
  • W3–0vs Haiti
  • D1–1vs Morocco

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

These sides haven't met yet at this tournament — this would be their first World Cup 2026 meeting.

Squad · 26 players

No lineup is published or predicted — this is the full registered squad.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win Scotland vs Brazil?
Our Elo model estimates Scotland 16%, draw 23%, Brazil 61% — most likely 0–1. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does Scotland vs Brazil kick off?
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is Scotland vs Brazil played?
Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.