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World Cup Pulse
Switzerland
vs
Upcoming
Canada
Jun 24, 2026, 7:00 PM UTCBC Place · Vancouver
Model estimate
43%SwitzerlandDraw 26%Canada31%

Most likely 1–1

Model read

The model reads this as a near coin-flip. With Elo 55 points apart (Switzerland 1932, Canada 1877), it estimates 43% / 26% / 31% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 1–1, with both teams to score 52% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ SwitzerlandCanada →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 1–1 · 12%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score52%
  • Switzerland clean sheet31%
  • Canada clean sheet24%
  • Switzerland win-to-nil24%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • Switzerland0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • Canada0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (1.44 vs 1.16). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 3447029898 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Balanced · 2/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

Switzerland
  • W4–1vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • D1–1@ Qatar
Canada
  • W6–0vs Qatar
  • D1–1vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

These sides haven't met yet at this tournament — this would be their first World Cup 2026 meeting.

Squad · 26 players

No lineup is published or predicted — this is the full registered squad.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win Switzerland vs Canada?
Our Elo model estimates Switzerland 43%, draw 26%, Canada 31% — most likely 1–1. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does Switzerland vs Canada kick off?
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is Switzerland vs Canada played?
BC Place in Vancouver.