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World Cup Pulse
Qatar
1–1
FT
Switzerland
Jun 13, 2026, 7:00 PM UTCLevi's Stadium · Santa Clara
Model estimateModel missed it
6%QatarDraw 17%Switzerland77%

Most likely 0–2

Model read

The model reads this as a lean toward Switzerland. With Elo 341 points apart (Qatar 1591, Switzerland 1932), it estimates 6% / 17% / 77% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 0–2, with both teams to score 32% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ QatarSwitzerland →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 0–2 · 17%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score32%
  • Qatar clean sheet12%
  • Switzerland clean sheet64%
  • Switzerland win-to-nil56%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • Qatar0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • Switzerland0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (0.45 vs 2.15). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 2466163230 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Leaning · 39/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

Qatar
  • L0–6@ Canada
  • D1–1vs Switzerland
Switzerland
  • W4–1vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • D1–1@ Qatar

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

Qatar · 0W · 1D · 0L

  • D1–1Switzerland

Squad · 26 players

Who featured

From the match timeline — goals, cards and substitutions — not a confirmed lineup.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win Qatar vs Switzerland?
Our Elo model estimates Qatar 6%, draw 17%, Switzerland 77% — most likely 0–2. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does Qatar vs Switzerland kick off?
Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is Qatar vs Switzerland played?
Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara.