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World Cup Pulse
Austria
3–1
FT
Jordan
Jun 17, 2026, 4:00 AM UTCLevi's Stadium · Santa Clara
Model estimateModel called it
58%AustriaDraw 23%Jordan18%

Most likely 1–0

Model read

The model reads this as a lean toward Austria. With Elo 176 points apart (Austria 1920, Jordan 1744), it estimates 58% / 23% / 18% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 1–0, with both teams to score 48% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ AustriaJordan →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 1–0 · 13%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score48%
  • Austria clean sheet42%
  • Jordan clean sheet18%
  • Austria win-to-nil35%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • Austria0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • Jordan0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (1.74 vs 0.86). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 3653127103 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Leaning · 12/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

Austria
  • W3–1vs Jordan
Jordan
  • L1–3@ Austria

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

Austria · 1W · 0D · 0L

  • W3–1Jordan

Squad · 26 players

Who featured

From the match timeline — goals, cards and substitutions — not a confirmed lineup.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win Austria vs Jordan?
Our Elo model estimates Austria 58%, draw 23%, Jordan 18% — most likely 1–0. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does Austria vs Jordan kick off?
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is Austria vs Jordan played?
Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara.