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World Cup Pulse
England
vs
Upcoming
Ghana
Jun 23, 2026, 8:00 PM UTCGillette Stadium · Foxborough
Model estimate
87%EnglandDraw 11%Ghana2%

Most likely 2–0

Model read

The model reads this as a clear edge for England. With Elo 447 points apart (England 2120, Ghana 1673), it estimates 87% / 11% / 2% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 2–0, with both teams to score 15% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ EnglandGhana →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 2–0 · 22%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score15%
  • England clean sheet83%
  • Ghana clean sheet9%
  • England win-to-nil76%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • England0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • Ghana0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (2.42 vs 0.18). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 3894155173 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Lopsided · 60/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

England
  • W4–2vs Croatia
Ghana
  • W1–0vs Panama

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

These sides haven't met yet at this tournament — this would be their first World Cup 2026 meeting.

Squad · 26 players

No lineup is published or predicted — this is the full registered squad.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win England vs Ghana?
Our Elo model estimates England 87%, draw 11%, Ghana 2% — most likely 2–0. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does England vs Ghana kick off?
Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is England vs Ghana played?
Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.