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World Cup Pulse
Morocco
vs
Upcoming
Haiti
Jun 24, 2026, 10:00 PM UTCMercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta
Model estimate
73%MoroccoDraw 18%Haiti9%

Most likely 2–0

Model read

The model reads this as a lean toward Morocco. With Elo 303 points apart (Morocco 1992, Haiti 1689), it estimates 73% / 18% / 9% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 2–0, with both teams to score 37% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ MoroccoHaiti →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 2–0 · 16%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score37%
  • Morocco clean sheet58%
  • Haiti clean sheet13%
  • Morocco win-to-nil51%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • Morocco0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • Haiti0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (2.06 vs 0.54). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 2796518815 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Leaning · 32/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

Morocco
  • W1–0@ Scotland
  • D1–1@ Brazil
Haiti
  • L0–3@ Brazil
  • L0–1vs Scotland

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

These sides haven't met yet at this tournament — this would be their first World Cup 2026 meeting.

Squad · 26 players

No lineup is published or predicted — this is the full registered squad.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win Morocco vs Haiti?
Our Elo model estimates Morocco 73%, draw 18%, Haiti 9% — most likely 2–0. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does Morocco vs Haiti kick off?
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is Morocco vs Haiti played?
Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.