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World Cup Pulse
Panama
vs
Upcoming
England
Jun 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTCMetLife Stadium · East Rutherford
Model estimate
8%PanamaDraw 18%England74%

Most likely 0–2

Model read

The model reads this as a lean toward England. With Elo 312 points apart (Panama 1808, England 2120), it estimates 8% / 18% / 74% (home win / draw / away win) and a most-likely 0–2, with both teams to score 35% likely.

A strength-only Elo estimate — it doesn't account for lineups, injuries, form or weather.

Scoreline probabilitiesOur model · Elo→Poisson

↓ PanamaEngland →
Less likelyMore likely
Most likely 0–2 · 16%. Exact values from the model's full scoreline grid — not a sampled simulation. Tap any cell for its probability.

Derived from the same grid

  • Both teams to score35%
  • Panama clean sheet12%
  • England clean sheet59%
  • England win-to-nil52%

Model estimate

10,000 simulated matchesOur model · Elo→Poisson

  • Panama0 (0%)
  • Draw0 (0%)
  • England0 (0%)

Marker = exact model %

Each match samples goals from the model's expected-goal rates (0.52 vs 2.08). The simulated split matches the exact analytic forecast — a live, fixed-seed visualization of the same math.

seed 3983479608 · reproducible

Model convictionOur model · Elo→Poisson

Leaning · 33/100

How concentrated the three outcome probabilities are. 0 = anything could happen, 100 = near-certain.

Form — actual World Cup 2026 results

Panama
  • L0–1@ Ghana
England
  • W4–2vs Croatia

Head-to-head (World Cup 2026 only)

These sides haven't met yet at this tournament — this would be their first World Cup 2026 meeting.

Squad · 26 players

No lineup is published or predicted — this is the full registered squad.

Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards

Squads as officially announced; ages as of June 11, 2026.

Common questions

Who will win Panama vs England?
Our Elo model estimates Panama 8%, draw 18%, England 74% — most likely 0–2. A transparent model estimate (not betting odds), graded against the real result.
When does Panama vs England kick off?
Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 9:00 PM UTC — your local kickoff time is shown above.
Where is Panama vs England played?
MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford.